About
Rafael Campos-Gottardo
I am a quantitative and qualitative researcher with expertise in causal inference and spatial analysis who studies support for housing and housing policies in Canada. I currently work at the Global Migration Institute at Toronto Metropolitan University, where I study housing for international students as part of Bridging Divides’ Place and Infrastructure theme. I also examine individual level support for housing as part of a project with the Laurier Institute for the Study of Public Opinion and Policy (LISPOP), which I have written about in the Waterloo Region Record.
I have previously contributed to the Canadian Election Study (CES) and worked extensively as a research assistant for the Laurier Institute for the Study of Public Opinion and Policy (LISPOP), Université du Québec à Montréal, and the Centre for the Study of Democratic Citizenship.
I received a Master’s Degree in Political Science from McGill University and a Bachelor’s degree in Political Science from Wilfrid Laurier University.

Featured research
Public support for new housing
With colleagues at LISPOP, I study how persuasive appeals, partisanship, housing status, and the built environment shape support for new housing developments, drawing on the 2022 Ontario General Election.
Selected work
Projects
Mapping the 2025 Montreal Election
Results by polling station, with bike lanes, green alleys, and on-street parking.
BIXI and the World Cup
How the World Cup changed bike-share use in Montreal.
Permits for Edmonton Infill
Where new infill is being built, by census block and zone.
Public engagement
Writing and commentary
Edmonton Journal · Oct 2026
Blanket infill rollback ignores differences in Edmonton neighbourhoods
An op-ed with Kael Kropp: Edmonton’s neighbourhoods are changing at very different rates, and its housing policies should reflect those differences.
Waterloo Region Record
Waterloo’s housing crisis puts densification to the test
An op-ed drawing on our LISPOP research on public support for housing.
Substack
Thoughts at the End of the Mile
A Substack about Montreal politics, planning, and history.


