Rafael Campos-Gottardo
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About

Rafael Campos-Gottardo

I am a quantitative and qualitative researcher with expertise in causal inference and spatial analysis who studies support for housing and housing policies in Canada. I currently work at the Global Migration Institute at Toronto Metropolitan University, where I study housing for international students as part of Bridging Divides’ Place and Infrastructure theme. I also examine individual level support for housing as part of a project with the Laurier Institute for the Study of Public Opinion and Policy (LISPOP), which I have written about in the Waterloo Region Record.

I have previously contributed to the Canadian Election Study (CES) and worked extensively as a research assistant for the Laurier Institute for the Study of Public Opinion and Policy (LISPOP), Université du Québec à Montréal, and the Centre for the Study of Democratic Citizenship.

I received a Master’s Degree in Political Science from McGill University and a Bachelor’s degree in Political Science from Wilfrid Laurier University.

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Portrait of Rafael Campos-Gottardo on a Toronto street

Featured research

Public support for new housing

With colleagues at LISPOP, I study how persuasive appeals, partisanship, housing status, and the built environment shape support for new housing developments, drawing on the 2022 Ontario General Election.

Housing policy Public opinion Ontario politics

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Selected work

Projects

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Map of the 2025 Montreal election results by polling station

Mapping the 2025 Montreal Election

Results by polling station, with bike lanes, green alleys, and on-street parking.

Line chart comparing BIXI trips during the World Cup final with an average Saturday

BIXI and the World Cup

How the World Cup changed bike-share use in Montreal.

Map of Edmonton showing building permits over census blocks

Permits for Edmonton Infill

Where new infill is being built, by census block and zone.

Public engagement

Writing and commentary

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Edmonton Journal · Oct 2026

Blanket infill rollback ignores differences in Edmonton neighbourhoods

An op-ed with Kael Kropp: Edmonton’s neighbourhoods are changing at very different rates, and its housing policies should reflect those differences.

Waterloo Region Record

Waterloo’s housing crisis puts densification to the test

An op-ed drawing on our LISPOP research on public support for housing.

Substack

Thoughts at the End of the Mile

A Substack about Montreal politics, planning, and history.

© 2026 Rafael Campos-Gottardo
 
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